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Forecasters like to get things right. Honest ones reach year-end and reflect on what surprised them the most, a polite way of asking what went wrong. Every year, I put this question to my team, and it usually elicits an avalanche of ideas. Same thing this year, but the votes had a very strong tilt to a single issue: the shocking upsets in some very critical games played out in full view. It looks like we could be dealing with the repercussions for some time to come. If so, it’s doubly troubling that these out-comes weren’t foreseen. Which games are we referring to?
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