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Les prix élevés, semble-t-il, s’avèreront bénéfiques aux producteurs commercialisant leurs produits mais pas nécessairement à bon nombre d’agriculteurs de pays en développement qui « ne sont pas liés aux marchés ». Les pauvres des zones urbaines seront fortement affectés, tandis que les PMA se montreront de plus en plus vulnérables, en particulier les PMA en situation de déficit alimentaire.
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Prices are expected to be more volatile in the coming period, in part as a result of speculation. Developing countries will, it is projected, play a growing role in agri-trade, both on the demand and supply sides. OECD countries will however ‘continue to dominate export trade for wheat, coarse grains, pork and all dairy products’. High prices, it is held, will benefit commercial producers but not necessarily the bulk of producers in developing countries where many farmers ‘are not linked to markets’. The urban poor in developing countries will suffer most, while LDCs will show increased vulnerability, particularly food deficit LDCs. This, it is felt, underscores the importance of developing the supply capacity of LDCs. In the interim the FAO and the OECD call for ‘increased humanitarian aid … to reduce the negative impact of high prices on the very poor’.
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